Flush Draw
Blog post: What is the difference between a first draw and a flush sample for lead in drinking water testing?
Flush Drawer Fronts
Water in a first draw sample has been sitting in the plumbing inside the house either overnight or for at least six hours. Water in a first draw sample is more likely to contain lead than water in a flush sample. Water that has sat in the plumbing inside the house is warmer and has had the opportunity to take in lead if lead is present in solder, fixtures, or fittings.
A flush sample is taken after letting the cold water run until the water is as cold as it gets. This may be 1 to 2 minutes or it may be several minutes depending on the house. Water in a flush sample is coming from the pipe outside the house and has not been sitting in the plumbing inside the house.
Flopping a Flush is most unlikely and requires us to have two suited cards in the hole already. However, Flush draws are a lot more common, so it’s worthwhile knowing the odds of flopping four of the five cards required to make a Flush. Odds of flopping a two card Flush draw with any starting hand – 2.58%. Download this free EV spreadsheet here: finds himself in an interesting situation during a live game. The main reason for shoving with a flush draw is that you’re looking for fold equity – a.k.a. What percentage of the time you think an opponent will fold. For example, if you go all-in with Ks-Qs on a flop of Jh-8s-4s and think your opponent will fold 75% of the time, this is probably a +EV move (based on pot sizes). We have a flush draw and gutshot straight draw, so we have 12 outs. Using the Rule of 2, we have about a 24% chance of hitting on the turn (12 x 2 = 24). Even if we discount the king of diamonds as an out (since it pairs the board), we still have a 22% chance of hitting on the turn. The term nut flush draw implies that we are drawing to the best possible flush. In many cases this will be a draw to the Ace-high flush, but it’s useful to remember that the Ace-high flush is not always the absolute nuts in community card games such as Hold’em and Omaha.
For more information check out CNN at: How to Test for Lead in your Home Water Supply
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09/23/2016
Flush Draw On The Flop
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